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Tom Britton, Stockholm University, “Statistical challenges when analysing emerging epidemic outbreaks”

June 15, 2017 | 10:30 am - 11:30 am EDT

New infectious disease outbreaks have great impact on communities over the world, as recently manifested by the Ebola outbreak. An important statistical task is then to predict the future scenario with and with out preventive measures. In the current talk we will investigate such analyses and see how it can be improved. The main catch is that in the exponentially growing phase early on in an outbreak, several biases can occur if not taken account for: events with short delays will be over-represented. We will give some examples from the Ebola outbreak and see how the biases can be removed or at least reduced. (Joint work with Gianpaolo Scalia Tomba).

Details

Date:
June 15, 2017
Time:
10:30 am - 11:30 am EDT
Event Category:

Venue

Cox 306