Biomathematics Seminar: Justin Lessler, UNC, What are planning scenarios for and how can we evaluate them?
Cox 306As with weather, there is a limit to how far into the future we can accurately forecast the future course of epidemics. Yet, we often need to make plans further into the future than we can reasonably forecast, and in many cases our actions themselves will change the course of an epidemic. One solution to this conundrum is the construction of "planning scenarios" where we project the likely course of an epidemic well beyond the…